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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.2%    VANGUARD 77.7%    STRONGHOLD 77.5%    TRIBUNAL 76.0%    TIER3ELO 75.6%    NEXUS 74.3%    ELOHQ 73.0%    HIGHORACLE 73.0%    TIERELO 72.5%    TIER2ELO 71.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-23 14:10 UTC · Next:
Live
Stake Pulse Beat II · Live · 16:00 · 2026-09-23 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 5 models
100 Thieves
58.1%
54%
46%
100 Thieves: $1.18 (1) · x1.85 Pool $2.18 Phantom: $1.00 (1) · x2.18
Predictions locked — match started
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Viresse
Sep 23, 12:35
100 Thieves
$1.18
active
FenomeN
Sep 23, 12:29
Phantom
$1.00
active
Model Predictions (22)
SQUAD
Player ratings
82.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.3%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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52.8%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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66.7%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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66.7%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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67.7%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
Phantom
51.7%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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65.1%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
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77.5%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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65.8%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
57.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.5%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
49.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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63.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.6%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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59.4%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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59.3%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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60.1%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.2%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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72.5%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.2%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.6%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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59.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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73.0%
accuracy
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