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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 77.0%    VANGUARD 75.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.5%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 71.3%    ELOHQ 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.9%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-14 07:34 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Pulse Beat II · Live · 16:00 · 2026-09-23 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 20 models
100 Thieves
58.6%
54%
46%
100 Thieves: $1.18 (1) · x1.85 Pool $2.18 Phantom: $1.00 (1) · x2.18
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Viresse
Sep 23, 12:35
100 Thieves
$1.18
+$2.18
won
FenomeN
Sep 23, 12:29
Phantom
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (20)
SQUAD
Player ratings
82.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.6%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
69.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
52.1%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
67.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.7%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
64.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
62.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
Phantom
51.1%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
62.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.9%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
60.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
77.0%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
58.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.0%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
57.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.2%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
49.8%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
57.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
55.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.7%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.4%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.2%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.2%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.3%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
57.7%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.5%
accuracy
✓
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