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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 77.0%    VANGUARD 75.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.5%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 71.3%    ELOHQ 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.9%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-14 07:12 UTC · Next:
Completed
ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · Live · 19:00 · 2026-10-02 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 22 models
100 Thieves
60.2%
50%
50%
100 Thieves: $1.06 (1) · x1.97 Pool $2.09 SINNERS: $1.03 (1) · x2.03
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
indoubt
Sep 30, 14:33
100 Thieves
$1.06
lost
chayJESUS
Sep 30, 13:02
SINNERS
$1.03
+$2.09
won
Model Predictions (22)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
82.6%
win probability
SINNERS
52.1%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
78.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.6%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
78.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.5%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
73.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.1%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
69.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.9%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.0%
accuracy
✕
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
66.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
77.0%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.9%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
65.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.9%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
62.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
57.7%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
62.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.2%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
62.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.4%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
62.3%
win probability
SINNERS
62.2%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.7%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
62.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.7%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
61.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
49.8%
accuracy
✕
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
60.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.5%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
56.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.4%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
55.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.5%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
54.3%
win probability
SINNERS
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.2%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.2%
accuracy
✕
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