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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.4%    TIER3ELO 73.1%    VANGUARD 72.7%    TRIBUNAL 71.3%    NEXUS 71.1%    ELOHQ 70.1%    TIERELO 69.9%    HIGHORACLE 69.5%    TIER2ELO 68.8%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 23:35 UTC · Next:
Completed
Parken Challenger Championship Season 8 · Live · 13:00 · 2026-05-24 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 21 models
100 Thieves
60.7%
50%
50%
100 Thieves: $0 (0) · x0 Pool $0 STATE: $0 (0) · x0
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
SayYouWill
May 24, 05:09
100 Thieves
$14.56
refunded
Bakorino
May 23, 16:00
100 Thieves
$26.96
refunded
erners
May 23, 15:50
100 Thieves
$3.23
refunded
Model Predictions (21)
SQUAD
Player ratings
89.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.5%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
71.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.9%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
69.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.1%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
68.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.3%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
68.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
69.5%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
66.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.5%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
63.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.1%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.2%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
60.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.3%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.2%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
57.3%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
57.9%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.7%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
68.8%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
69.9%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
61.6%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.4%
win probability
STATE
49.9%
accuracy
✕
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
73.1%
accuracy
✓
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