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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 84.0%    TRIBUNAL 83.3%    STRONGHOLD 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.5%    TIER3ELO 76.5%    NEXUS 75.5%    TIERELO 74.3%    ELOHQ 72.8%    TIER2ELO 72.4%    HIGHORACLE 68.9%   
Last refresh: 2026-07-05 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
Parken Challenger Championship Season 8 Playoffs · Live · 13:00 · 2026-05-24 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 21 models
100 Thieves
60.6%
50%
50%
100 Thieves: $0 (0) · x0 Pool $0 STATE: $0 (0) · x0
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
SayYouWill
May 24, 05:09
100 Thieves
$14.56
refunded
Bakorino
May 23, 16:00
100 Thieves
$26.96
refunded
erners
May 23, 15:50
100 Thieves
$3.23
refunded
Model Predictions (21)
SQUAD
Player ratings
89.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.3%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
71.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.2%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
69.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.5%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
68.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
68.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
68.9%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
66.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
63.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.7%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.7%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
60.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
83.3%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.0%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.4%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.7%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.6%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.8%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.4%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.3%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
55.7%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.4%
win probability
STATE
50.3%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
76.5%
accuracy
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