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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.8%    STRONGHOLD 76.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    VANGUARD 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 73.0%    NEXUS 72.8%    ELOHQ 71.2%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-17 05:43 UTC · Next:
Completed
ESN Fall Showdown 2026 · bo3 · 09:15 · 2026-10-02 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 23 models
5star
61.5%
50%
50%
5star: $1.00 (1) · x2.00 Pool $2.00 The Huns: $1.00 (1) · x2.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Luffy
Oct 01, 06:28
5star
$1.00
+$2.00
won
Folke
Oct 01, 06:22
The Huns
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (23)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
90.7%
win probability
The Huns
52.1%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
81.5%
win probability
5star
62.6%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
74.5%
win probability
5star
74.5%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
74.3%
win probability
5star
66.3%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
74.3%
win probability
5star
70.7%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
5star
51.1%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
71.5%
win probability
5star
72.8%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
68.8%
win probability
5star
65.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
68.4%
win probability
5star
66.3%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
68.4%
win probability
5star
62.2%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.0%
win probability
5star
65.1%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
62.6%
win probability
5star
76.1%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
62.2%
win probability
5star
63.9%
accuracy
✓
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
62.2%
win probability
5star
78.8%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
5star
54.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.6%
win probability
5star
65.8%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.9%
win probability
The Huns
49.6%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.9%
win probability
5star
57.7%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
54.4%
win probability
5star
57.5%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
53.8%
win probability
5star
60.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.2%
win probability
5star
71.2%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.8%
win probability
5star
70.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.7%
win probability
5star
71.2%
accuracy
✓
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