Last refresh: 2026-09-18 04:04 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 6 models
Alliance
56.2%
Alliance: $0 (0) · x0
Pool $0
Astralis: $0 (0) · x0
If win: —
potential payout
If win: —
Model Predictions (22)
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Alliance
52.6%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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63.6%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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52.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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66.9%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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66.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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59.9%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
55.5%
win probability
Alliance
59.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Alliance
55.3%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.7%
win probability
Alliance
49.6%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.4%
win probability
Alliance
58.8%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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59.6%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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59.8%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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65.3%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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66.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.4%
win probability
Astralis
63.6%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.9%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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73.7%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.4%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.9%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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72.8%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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67.9%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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60.9%
accuracy