Last refresh: 2026-11-02 15:49 UTC · Next:
Completed
Alliance: $1.05 (1) · x2.31
Pool $2.43
Astralis: $1.38 (1) · x1.76
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Model Predictions (19)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
88.5%
win probability
Astralis
52.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Alliance
50.1%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Astralis
55.3%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
61.5%
win probability
Alliance
64.6%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.5%
win probability
Astralis
64.5%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
59.1%
win probability
Astralis
57.6%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
59.1%
win probability
Astralis
57.9%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
59.1%
win probability
Astralis
58.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
59.1%
win probability
Alliance
64.8%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
58.8%
win probability
Astralis
62.2%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
58.7%
win probability
Alliance
61.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.3%
win probability
Astralis
50.5%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.2%
win probability
Astralis
65.3%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.9%
win probability
Alliance
57.0%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
54.0%
win probability
Alliance
60.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.0%
win probability
Alliance
63.6%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
52.4%
win probability
Alliance
65.1%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.3%
win probability
Astralis
68.8%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.2%
win probability
Astralis
70.0%
accuracy