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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.8%    VANGUARD 77.4%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 72.8%    ELOHQ 72.3%    TIERELO 72.3%    HIGHORACLE 71.7%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 23:08 UTC · Next:
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Stake Ranked Episode 4 · bo3 · 20:30 · 2026-10-02 · OTHER · HLTV →
starts in …
47%
53%
Alliance: $1.00 (1) · x2.10 Pool $2.10 Nemiga: $1.10 (1) · x1.91
If win: — potential payout If win: —
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
HorizoN
Oct 01, 21:45
Alliance
$1.00
active
indoubt
Oct 01, 21:45
Nemiga
$1.10
active
Model Predictions (22)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.8%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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77.4%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
73.1%
win probability
Nemiga
54.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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65.4%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
68.8%
win probability
Alliance
60.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
64.4%
win probability
Nemiga
58.0%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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58.6%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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58.8%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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66.3%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.1%
win probability
Nemiga
48.8%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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52.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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72.3%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
55.8%
win probability
Alliance
63.2%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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66.5%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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67.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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64.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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70.6%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.5%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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72.3%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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58.7%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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59.3%
accuracy
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