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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 83.7%    SENTINEL 81.5%    STRONGHOLD 81.1%    VANGUARD 81.0%    TIER3ELO 77.2%    NEXUS 75.3%    TIERELO 74.6%    TIER2ELO 72.8%    ELOHQ 72.0%    HIGHORACLE 68.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-07-01 21:52 UTC · Next:
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XSE Pro League Guangzhou 2026 · bo1 · 07:00 · 2026-07-02 · TOP · HLTV →
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Model Consensus based on 6 models
Alliance
62.6%
60%
40%
Alliance: $6.31 (4) · x1.66 Pool $10.50 Ninjas in Pyjamas: $4.19 (3) · x2.51
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 7 latest
zxy
Jul 01, 20:03
Alliance
$1.86
active
Jardani
Jul 01, 19:58
Alliance
$1.69
active
Katkame
Jul 01, 19:51
Ninjas in Pyj…
$1.42
active
FenomeN
Jul 01, 19:37
Ninjas in Pyj…
$1.31
active
Ciocardau
Jul 01, 19:31
Alliance
$1.76
active
silrak
Jul 01, 19:25
Alliance
$1.00
active
fuzenko
Jul 01, 19:19
Ninjas in Pyj…
$1.46
active
Model Predictions (22)
SQUAD
Player ratings
89.7%
win probability
Alliance
59.8%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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calibrating
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.4%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Alliance
54.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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63.9%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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64.5%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
56.3%
win probability
Alliance
55.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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64.3%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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67.0%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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64.3%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Alliance
53.7%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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63.8%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.6%
win probability
Ninjas in Pyjamas
49.4%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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63.9%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.4%
win probability
Alliance
61.8%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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62.5%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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62.9%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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64.6%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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72.0%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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72.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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74.6%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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77.2%
accuracy
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