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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 02:17 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Pulse Beat II - Playoffs · bo3 · 10:00 · OTHER
Model Consensus based on 15 models
Astralis
55.9%
61%
39%
Astralis: $2.00 (2) · x1.62 Pool $3.23 100 Thieves: $1.23 (1) · x2.63
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Dominic
Sep 26, 02:55
Astralis
$1.00
lost
hazr
Sep 26, 02:22
Astralis
$1.00
lost
nigazi
Sep 26, 02:16
100 Thieves
$1.23
+$3.23
won
Model Predictions (15)
SQUAD
Player ratings
66.5%
win probability
Astralis
60.1%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
66.5%
win probability
Astralis
66.5%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
65.9%
win probability
Astralis
73.3%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
65.4%
win probability
Astralis
67.2%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.3%
win probability
Astralis
63.4%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
51.6%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
61.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
52.0%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
60.9%
win probability
Astralis
64.4%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
60.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
59.9%
win probability
Astralis
66.6%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Astralis
58.9%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Astralis
58.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.9%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.8%
win probability
Astralis
59.2%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.7%
win probability
Astralis
48.8%
accuracy
✕
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