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Top models accuracy · top-tier
SENTINEL
80.6%
VANGUARD
77.6%
STRONGHOLD
76.9%
TIER3ELO
75.8%
TRIBUNAL
74.9%
NEXUS
73.3%
ELOHQ
72.5%
TIERELO
72.5%
HIGHORACLE
72.2%
TIER2ELO
71.1%
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2026-10-01 02:17 UTC
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Astralis vs 100 Thieves
Completed
Astralis
#10
1-2
100 Thieves
Stake Pulse Beat II - Playoffs · bo3 · 10:00 · OTHER
Astralis
HooXi
phzy
jabbi
Staehr
ryu
100 Thieves
device
rain
Ag1l
sirah
poiii
Model Consensus
based on 15 models
Astralis
55.9%
61%
39%
Astralis: $
2.00
(
2
) · x
1.62
Pool $
3.23
100 Thieves: $
1.23
(
1
) · x
2.63
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match
· 3 latest
Dominic
Sep 26, 02:55
Astralis
$1.00
lost
hazr
Sep 26, 02:22
Astralis
$1.00
lost
nigazi
Sep 26, 02:16
100 Thieves
$1.23
+$3.23
won
Model Predictions (15)
SQUAD
Player ratings
66.5%
win probability
Astralis
60.1%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
66.5%
win probability
Astralis
66.5%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
65.9%
win probability
Astralis
73.3%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
65.4%
win probability
Astralis
67.2%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.3%
win probability
Astralis
63.4%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
51.6%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
61.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
52.0%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
60.9%
win probability
Astralis
64.4%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
60.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
59.9%
win probability
Astralis
66.6%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Astralis
58.9%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Astralis
58.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.9%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.8%
win probability
Astralis
59.2%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.7%
win probability
Astralis
48.8%
accuracy
✕
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