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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 01:59 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Pulse Beat IIQuarterfinal · Live · 14:00 · 2026-09-25 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 24 models
Astralis
57.0%
60%
40%
Astralis: $2.46 (2) · x1.65 Pool $4.06 Betclic: $1.60 (1) · x2.54
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
StarBlank
Sep 24, 19:51
Astralis
$1.46
+$2.41
won
mazda
Sep 24, 19:40
Astralis
$1.00
+$1.65
won
n1ght
Sep 24, 19:34
Betclic
$1.60
lost
Model Predictions (24)
SQUAD
Player ratings
82.9%
win probability
Astralis
60.1%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
75.9%
win probability
Astralis
66.5%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
75.8%
win probability
Astralis
52.0%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
74.3%
win probability
Astralis
66.6%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Betclic
51.6%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
72.6%
win probability
Astralis
73.3%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
69.2%
win probability
Astralis
67.2%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
69.2%
win probability
Astralis
72.2%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
66.8%
win probability
Astralis
63.4%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
65.0%
win probability
Betclic
48.8%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.5%
win probability
Astralis
65.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
60.3%
win probability
Betclic
58.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.9%
win probability
Astralis
66.2%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
56.8%
win probability
Betclic
59.2%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
Betclic
58.0%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Betclic
58.9%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.3%
win probability
Astralis
64.4%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Betclic
58.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Betclic
54.9%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.5%
win probability
Astralis
71.1%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
53.3%
win probability
Astralis
62.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.9%
win probability
Astralis
72.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.2%
win probability
Astralis
72.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.2%
win probability
Astralis
75.8%
accuracy
✓
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