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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.8%    STRONGHOLD 76.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    VANGUARD 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 73.0%    NEXUS 72.8%    ELOHQ 71.2%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-17 05:54 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Live · 10:00 · 2026-10-03 · TOP · HLTV →
50%
50%
Astralis: $1.00 (1) · x2.00 Pool $2.00 BIG: $1.00 (1) · x2.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Ciocardau
Oct 02, 18:37
Astralis
$1.00
+$2.00
won
idl3crow
Oct 02, 18:26
BIG
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (17)
SQUAD
Player ratings
75.8%
win probability
Astralis
60.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
66.1%
win probability
BIG
51.1%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
64.9%
win probability
BIG
66.3%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Astralis
54.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
61.0%
win probability
Astralis
62.6%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
60.6%
win probability
BIG
65.9%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
59.2%
win probability
Astralis
57.5%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
58.1%
win probability
BIG
62.2%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
57.9%
win probability
Astralis
65.1%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.3%
win probability
Astralis
49.6%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
55.2%
win probability
Astralis
65.8%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
54.2%
win probability
BIG
63.9%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.2%
win probability
Astralis
70.1%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
52.9%
win probability
BIG
57.7%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.6%
win probability
Astralis
71.2%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
52.1%
win probability
Astralis
58.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
Astralis
74.5%
accuracy
✓
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