Last refresh: 2026-10-17 06:45 UTC · Next:
Completed
Model Consensus based on 18 models
Astralis
57.3%
Astralis: $1.15 (1) · x2.29
Pool $2.63
fnatic: $1.48 (1) · x1.78
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Model Predictions (18)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
83.5%
win probability
Astralis
52.1%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
fnatic
51.1%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
71.6%
win probability
Astralis
74.5%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
69.2%
win probability
Astralis
72.8%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
69.0%
win probability
Astralis
60.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.3%
win probability
Astralis
70.7%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Astralis
54.9%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
59.5%
win probability
Astralis
73.0%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
56.2%
win probability
Astralis
57.5%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
54.8%
win probability
Astralis
65.1%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.7%
win probability
Astralis
49.6%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.2%
win probability
fnatic
57.7%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
53.3%
win probability
Astralis
66.3%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
53.2%
win probability
Astralis
65.8%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
52.7%
win probability
fnatic
66.3%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
52.4%
win probability
fnatic
65.9%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.2%
win probability
Astralis
70.1%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.1%
win probability
Astralis
57.9%
accuracy