Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 18 models
Aurora
68.0%
Model Predictions (18)
ELO
Team ELO rating
84.2%
win probability
Aurora
66.5%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
80.4%
win probability
Aurora
85.0%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
80.2%
win probability
Aurora
63.7%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
78.2%
win probability
Aurora
63.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
76.7%
win probability
Aurora
66.6%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
76.0%
win probability
Aurora
86.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
74.8%
win probability
Aurora
67.0%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
70.7%
win probability
Aurora
64.4%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
67.9%
win probability
Aurora
64.0%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
67.8%
win probability
Aurora
68.5%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
67.5%
win probability
Aurora
68.1%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
66.8%
win probability
Aurora
54.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
59.7%
win probability
Aurora
75.8%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
59.0%
win probability
Aurora
60.5%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
56.8%
win probability
Aurora
76.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
56.4%
win probability
Aurora
79.6%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
55.0%
win probability
Alliance
53.7%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
54.3%
win probability
Aurora
81.8%
accuracy