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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 85.2%    STRONGHOLD 82.4%    SENTINEL 81.4%    VANGUARD 81.4%    TIER3ELO 75.2%    NEXUS 75.0%    TIERELO 73.2%    ELOHQ 72.3%    TIER2ELO 71.5%    HIGHORACLE 70.0%   
Last refresh: 2026-07-18 00:00 UTC · Next:
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StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · bo3 · 10:00 · 2026-07-22 · TOP · HLTV →
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Model Consensus based on 3 models
Aurora
55.1%
100%
0%
Aurora: $3.43 (3) · x1.00 Pool $3.43 K27: $0 (0) · x0
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
hazr
Jul 19, 12:51
Aurora
$1.26
active
Shawk
Jul 19, 12:51
Aurora
$1.10
active
indoubt
Jul 19, 12:51
Aurora
$1.07
active
Model Predictions (23)
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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63.8%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
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75.0%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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50.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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64.1%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
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70.0%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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64.7%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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64.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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81.4%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
69.3%
win probability
Aurora
58.0%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
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82.4%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.5%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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65.5%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
K27
53.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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63.7%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
56.9%
win probability
Aurora
59.0%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.5%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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73.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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72.3%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.2%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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65.1%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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62.7%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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63.0%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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63.6%
accuracy
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