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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 84.4%    TRIBUNAL 82.1%    STRONGHOLD 80.4%    VANGUARD 79.9%    NEXUS 77.0%    TIER3ELO 74.2%    HIGHORACLE 74.0%    ELOHQ 73.9%    TIERELO 73.2%    TIER2ELO 71.3%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-28 21:47 UTC · Next:
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BLAST Open Porto 2026 · bo3 · 09:00 · 2026-08-30 · TOP · HLTV →
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Model Consensus based on 5 models
Aurora
62.4%
60%
40%
Aurora: $2.01 (2) · x1.66 Pool $3.33 M80: $1.32 (1) · x2.52
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Zhenn
Aug 28, 19:38
Aurora
$1.00
active
xelex
Aug 28, 19:27
Aurora
$1.01
active
fEAR
Aug 28, 19:21
M80
$1.32
active
Model Predictions (22)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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64.0%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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79.9%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
72.3%
win probability
Aurora
59.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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66.6%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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67.3%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
63.9%
win probability
Aurora
52.5%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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47.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Aurora
54.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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68.8%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.5%
win probability
Aurora
49.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
56.6%
win probability
Aurora
59.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.3%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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73.9%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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68.0%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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73.2%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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74.2%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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61.5%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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69.3%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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66.6%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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62.9%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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62.4%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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62.6%
accuracy
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