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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.2%    VANGUARD 78.7%    STRONGHOLD 77.9%    TRIBUNAL 77.3%    TIER3ELO 76.0%    NEXUS 74.9%    ELOHQ 73.9%    HIGHORACLE 73.6%    TIERELO 72.9%    TIER2ELO 71.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-18 22:42 UTC · Next:
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StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · bo3 · 15:00 · 2026-09-19 · TOP · HLTV →
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Model Consensus based on 6 models
Vitality
61.4%
42%
58%
Aurora: $1.48 (1) · x2.35 Pool $3.48 Vitality: $2.00 (2) · x1.74
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
pl4in92tv
Sep 18, 20:48
Vitality
$1.00
active
b0RUP
Sep 18, 20:34
Vitality
$1.00
active
Zilkenberg
Sep 18, 20:26
Aurora
$1.48
active
Model Predictions (27)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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52.4%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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63.6%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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78.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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66.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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66.3%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
71.9%
win probability
Vitality
60.2%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
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74.9%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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66.9%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
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77.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
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73.6%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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67.2%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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68.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
66.1%
win probability
Vitality
52.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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65.2%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
60.2%
win probability
Vitality
63.6%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.3%
win probability
Vitality
49.7%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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77.3%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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59.6%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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59.7%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.3%
win probability
Vitality
58.7%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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59.5%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Vitality
55.3%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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60.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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73.9%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.6%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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72.9%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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76.0%
accuracy
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