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80.0%
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76.9%
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75.5%
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74.9%
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74.9%
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72.7%
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71.5%
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2026-10-09 15:07 UTC
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Aurora vs Vitality
Upcoming
Aurora
#7
vs
Vitality
#1
ESL Pro League Season 24Semifinal · bo3 · 13:45 · 2026-10-10 · TOP ·
HLTV →
starts in
…
Aurora
MAJ3R
XANTARES
woxic
Wicadia
soulfly
Vitality
mezii
apEX
ropz
flameZ
ZywOo
Model Consensus
based on 6 models
Vitality
60.3%
45%
55%
Aurora: $
1.00
(
1
) · x
2.18
Pool $
2.18
Vitality: $
1.18
(
1
) · x
1.85
Predict Aurora
Predict Vitality
If win:
—
potential payout
If win:
—
Predictions on this match
· 2 latest
Kozmo
Oct 09, 13:51
Vitality
$1.18
active
idl3crow
Oct 09, 13:23
Aurora
$1.00
active
Model Predictions (24)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
Upgrade
52.0%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
Upgrade
62.5%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
Upgrade
75.5%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
Upgrade
65.1%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
71.0%
win probability
Vitality
60.4%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
Upgrade
66.0%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
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76.9%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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65.8%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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66.3%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
Vitality
51.1%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Vitality
54.9%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
Upgrade
64.3%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.1%
win probability
Vitality
49.8%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
57.4%
win probability
Vitality
57.8%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
Upgrade
66.7%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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58.1%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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59.6%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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71.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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70.2%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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58.9%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
Upgrade
71.5%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
Upgrade
58.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.9%
win probability
Vitality
62.4%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
Upgrade
74.9%
accuracy
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