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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.4%    TIER3ELO 73.1%    VANGUARD 72.7%    TRIBUNAL 71.3%    NEXUS 71.1%    ELOHQ 70.1%    TIERELO 69.9%    HIGHORACLE 69.5%    TIER2ELO 68.8%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 23:50 UTC · Next:
Completed
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier · Live · 10:00 · 2026-09-13 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 20 models
HOTU
63.4%
43%
57%
BBL: $1.64 (1) · x2.29 Pool $3.76 HOTU: $2.12 (2) · x1.77
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
5ilent92
Sep 12, 16:38
HOTU
$1.06
+$1.88
won
Goofy
Sep 12, 16:15
BBL
$1.64
lost
1LEFTY
Sep 12, 16:10
HOTU
$1.06
+$1.88
won
Model Predictions (20)
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
75.7%
win probability
HOTU
64.9%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
75.0%
win probability
HOTU
64.4%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
74.5%
win probability
HOTU
65.5%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
74.4%
win probability
HOTU
71.1%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
73.1%
win probability
HOTU
65.3%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
73.1%
win probability
HOTU
69.5%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
72.9%
win probability
HOTU
61.6%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
72.7%
win probability
HOTU
72.7%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
70.4%
win probability
HOTU
62.1%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
69.3%
win probability
HOTU
74.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
67.2%
win probability
HOTU
65.2%
accuracy
✓
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
60.6%
win probability
HOTU
75.8%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
56.1%
win probability
HOTU
70.1%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
BBL
54.9%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.8%
win probability
HOTU
68.8%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.5%
win probability
HOTU
69.9%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.5%
win probability
BBL
57.3%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.5%
win probability
BBL
57.9%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.5%
win probability
BBL
58.2%
accuracy
✕
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.4%
win probability
HOTU
73.1%
accuracy
✓
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