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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 75.2%    TIER3ELO 74.7%    TRIBUNAL 73.6%    NEXUS 73.1%    ELOHQ 71.3%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-15 07:32 UTC · Next:
Completed
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · bo3 · 19:30 · 2026-09-17 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
OLDBOYS PL
59.1%
41%
59%
BERG: $1.41 (1) · x2.42 Pool $3.41 OLDBOYS PL: $2.00 (2) · x1.70
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Xwy
Sep 14, 20:42
OLDBOYS PL
$1.00
+$1.70
won
mitrofanushka
Sep 14, 20:19
BERG
$1.41
lost
idl3crow
Sep 14, 20:14
OLDBOYS PL
$1.00
+$1.70
won
Model Predictions (19)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
77.9%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
62.6%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
72.6%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
75.2%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
72.3%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
51.9%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
69.7%
win probability
BERG
60.8%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
69.0%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
54.9%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
67.3%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
65.1%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
61.7%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
57.6%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
61.7%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
58.0%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
61.7%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
58.2%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
61.5%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
65.8%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
60.4%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
73.6%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.9%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
49.9%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
57.9%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
63.9%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
57.8%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
66.3%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
57.1%
win probability
BERG
66.3%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
55.5%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
66.0%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.6%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
71.3%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.3%
win probability
BERG
62.1%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.0%
win probability
OLDBOYS PL
59.5%
accuracy
✓
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