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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.8%    STRONGHOLD 77.2%    VANGUARD 76.0%    TIER3ELO 75.3%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 73.0%    ELOHQ 72.0%    TIERELO 72.0%    HIGHORACLE 71.8%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-06 12:58 UTC · Next:
Completed
Exort Fiesta Series 2Quarterfinal · Live · 14:10 · 2026-09-22 · OTHER · HLTV →

Black Phoenix

Model Consensus based on 18 models
ex-Zero Tenacity
55.3%
42%
58%
Black Phoenix: $1.90 (1) · x2.37 Pool $4.50 ex-Zero Tenacity: $2.60 (2) · x1.73
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Onryx
Sep 21, 19:32
ex-Zero Tenac…
$1.43
+$2.48
won
tripex17
Sep 21, 19:19
Black Phoenix
$1.90
lost
geekaisoo
Sep 21, 19:14
ex-Zero Tenac…
$1.17
+$2.02
won
Model Predictions (18)
SQUAD
Player ratings
70.9%
win probability
Black Phoenix
60.5%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
69.8%
win probability
Black Phoenix
51.7%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
67.3%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
62.8%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
65.3%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
62.7%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
64.4%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
66.3%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
62.2%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
66.7%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
60.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
65.4%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
59.2%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
66.8%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.5%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
66.2%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
55.8%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
74.4%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.7%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
64.4%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
59.1%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
58.9%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
54.8%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
58.9%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.9%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
57.9%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.8%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
59.9%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.7%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
49.7%
accuracy
✓
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