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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 77.0%    VANGUARD 75.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.5%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 71.3%    ELOHQ 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.9%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-14 02:04 UTC · Next:
Completed
GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Closed Qualifier · bo3 · 14:20 · 2026-08-30 · OTHER · HLTV →

Black Phoenix

Model Consensus based on 13 models
SPARTA
55.1%
50%
50%
Black Phoenix: $2.00 (2) · x2.00 Pool $4.00 SPARTA: $2.00 (2) · x2.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
Oli
Aug 30, 11:49
SPARTA
$1.00
+$2.00
won
Xom
Aug 29, 21:32
Black Phoenix
$1.00
lost
Stx
Aug 29, 21:16
Black Phoenix
$1.00
lost
Folke
Aug 29, 21:11
SPARTA
$1.00
+$2.00
won
Model Predictions (13)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
88.5%
win probability
SPARTA
52.1%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
66.2%
win probability
SPARTA
60.6%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
59.0%
win probability
SPARTA
62.5%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
57.9%
win probability
Black Phoenix
62.2%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
56.0%
win probability
Black Phoenix
66.3%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
SPARTA
54.9%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.7%
win probability
SPARTA
49.8%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
53.8%
win probability
SPARTA
65.0%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
53.8%
win probability
Black Phoenix
65.7%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.7%
win probability
SPARTA
57.7%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.7%
win probability
SPARTA
58.4%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.7%
win probability
SPARTA
58.2%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
52.5%
win probability
SPARTA
65.7%
accuracy
✓
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