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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 75.2%    TIER3ELO 74.7%    TRIBUNAL 73.6%    NEXUS 73.1%    ELOHQ 71.3%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-15 08:45 UTC · Next:
Completed
CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · Live · 17:00 · 2026-10-04 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
Butterfly
57.8%
50%
50%
Butterfly: $1.00 (1) · x2.00 Pool $2.00 megoshort: $1.00 (1) · x2.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
iBALLY
Oct 03, 19:45
Butterfly
$1.00
+$2.00
won
xelex
Oct 03, 19:29
megoshort
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (18)
SQUAD
Player ratings
73.7%
win probability
megoshort
60.8%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
69.0%
win probability
Butterfly
62.6%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
69.0%
win probability
Butterfly
66.0%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
68.7%
win probability
Butterfly
75.2%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.4%
win probability
Butterfly
65.1%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
68.4%
win probability
Butterfly
73.1%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
67.8%
win probability
Butterfly
66.3%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.8%
win probability
Butterfly
71.1%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
67.5%
win probability
Butterfly
62.1%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
64.6%
win probability
megoshort
51.9%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
64.0%
win probability
Butterfly
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.3%
win probability
Butterfly
65.8%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
megoshort
54.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.0%
win probability
Butterfly
71.3%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.7%
win probability
megoshort
57.6%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.7%
win probability
megoshort
58.2%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.7%
win probability
megoshort
58.0%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.1%
win probability
megoshort
49.9%
accuracy
✕
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