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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 77.0%    VANGUARD 75.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.5%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 71.3%    ELOHQ 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.9%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-14 08:08 UTC · Next:
Completed
Exort Fiesta Series 2Semifinal · Live · 14:00 · 2026-09-23 · OTHER · HLTV →
35%
65%
ex-Zero Tenacity: $1.41 (1) · x2.82 Pool $3.97 STATE: $2.56 (2) · x1.55
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
lojzo
Sep 22, 20:57
STATE
$1.56
+$2.42
won
SlaweE
Sep 22, 20:46
ex-Zero Tenac…
$1.41
lost
Shawk
Sep 22, 20:41
STATE
$1.00
+$1.55
won
Model Predictions (15)
SQUAD
Player ratings
84.1%
win probability
STATE
60.6%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
78.9%
win probability
STATE
52.1%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.5%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
62.5%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
69.4%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
75.1%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.3%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
65.0%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
60.4%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
66.4%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.1%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
65.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
54.9%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
58.7%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
65.7%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.9%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
57.7%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
54.9%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
62.2%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
49.8%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
54.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
63.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.7%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
71.2%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
52.6%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
66.3%
accuracy
✕
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