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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.4%    TIER3ELO 73.1%    VANGUARD 72.7%    TRIBUNAL 71.3%    NEXUS 71.1%    ELOHQ 70.1%    TIERELO 69.9%    HIGHORACLE 69.5%    TIER2ELO 68.8%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-28 01:31 UTC · Next:
Completed
Exort Fiesta Series 2 · Live · 19:00 · 2026-09-13 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 16 models
ex-Zero Tenacity
58.1%
60%
40%
ex-Zero Tenacity: $3.00 (3) · x1.67 Pool $5.00 UNiTY: $2.00 (2) · x2.50
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
Oli
Sep 13, 16:54
ex-Zero Tenac…
$1.00
lost
UnderDOG
Sep 13, 10:04
ex-Zero Tenac…
$1.00
lost
Zilkenberg
Sep 12, 22:21
ex-Zero Tenac…
$1.00
lost
lonegopherx
Sep 12, 22:16
UNiTY
$1.00
+$2.50
won
fuzenko
Sep 12, 22:11
UNiTY
$1.00
+$2.50
won
Model Predictions (16)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
81.8%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
51.5%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
71.7%
win probability
UNiTY
60.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
70.3%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
62.1%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
68.8%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
72.7%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.4%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
64.4%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
62.2%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
65.5%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.6%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
61.6%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
60.3%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
65.3%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
60.2%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
64.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.8%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
65.2%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
54.9%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.4%
win probability
UNiTY
49.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.8%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
70.1%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.4%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
57.9%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.4%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
58.2%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.4%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
57.3%
accuracy
✕
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