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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.8%    VANGUARD 77.4%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 72.8%    ELOHQ 72.3%    TIERELO 72.3%    HIGHORACLE 71.7%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 23:56 UTC · Next:
Completed
Exort Fiesta Series 1 · Live · 16:00 · 2026-08-18 · OTHER · HLTV →
68%
32%
ex-Zero Tenacity: $2.85 (2) · x1.46 Pool $4.17 Vexar: $1.32 (1) · x3.16
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Chill
Aug 17, 21:30
ex-Zero Tenac…
$1.24
+$1.81
won
hazr
Aug 17, 21:20
ex-Zero Tenac…
$1.61
+$2.36
won
Zhenn
Aug 17, 21:14
Vexar
$1.32
lost
Model Predictions (10)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
87.2%
win probability
Vexar
52.0%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
56.7%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
62.8%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
56.3%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
67.1%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
54.9%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
54.2%
win probability
Vexar
66.3%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
58.0%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
58.6%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.0%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
58.8%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
52.4%
win probability
ex-Zero Tenacity
65.4%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
52.1%
win probability
Vexar
60.1%
accuracy
✕
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