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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 75.2%    TIER3ELO 74.7%    TRIBUNAL 73.6%    NEXUS 73.1%    ELOHQ 71.3%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-15 07:27 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 4 · Live · 15:30 · 2026-10-03 · OTHER · HLTV →
59%
41%
fnatic: $1.49 (1) · x1.67 Pool $2.49 Alliance: $1.00 (1) · x2.49
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
chayJESUS
Oct 02, 20:30
Alliance
$1.00
lost
PYREXX
Oct 02, 20:25
fnatic
$1.49
+$2.49
won
Model Predictions (16)
SQUAD
Player ratings
72.3%
win probability
Alliance
60.8%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
60.3%
win probability
fnatic
51.9%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
fnatic
54.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
59.3%
win probability
fnatic
62.6%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
59.3%
win probability
Alliance
66.0%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
59.0%
win probability
Alliance
66.3%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
57.3%
win probability
Alliance
62.1%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.1%
win probability
Alliance
49.9%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Alliance
58.2%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Alliance
58.0%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
54.9%
win probability
Alliance
66.3%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
54.8%
win probability
Alliance
63.9%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
Alliance
59.5%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
Alliance
57.8%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.4%
win probability
fnatic
57.6%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
52.6%
win probability
fnatic
65.1%
accuracy
✓
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