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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.3%    STRONGHOLD 75.7%    TIER3ELO 73.9%    VANGUARD 73.6%    TRIBUNAL 72.7%    NEXUS 72.6%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    ELOHQ 70.6%    TIERELO 70.5%    TIER2ELO 69.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-22 20:22 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · bo1 · 16:00 · 2026-09-04 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 21 models
fnatic
58.9%
46%
54%
fnatic: $1.98 (1) · x2.15 Pool $4.25 ASTRAL: $2.27 (2) · x1.87
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Paranormal
Sep 03, 17:12
fnatic
$1.98
lost
SBT
Sep 03, 17:06
ASTRAL
$1.27
+$2.38
won
lenci
Sep 03, 16:50
ASTRAL
$1.00
+$1.87
won
Model Predictions (21)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
75.0%
win probability
fnatic
62.1%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
71.8%
win probability
fnatic
73.6%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.6%
win probability
fnatic
64.8%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
65.1%
win probability
fnatic
65.3%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
64.1%
win probability
fnatic
65.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.4%
win probability
fnatic
65.3%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
60.9%
win probability
fnatic
65.8%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
fnatic
54.6%
accuracy
✕
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
58.7%
win probability
fnatic
72.7%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
56.6%
win probability
fnatic
63.5%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
56.0%
win probability
fnatic
57.3%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
56.0%
win probability
fnatic
57.8%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
56.0%
win probability
fnatic
58.1%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
56.0%
win probability
fnatic
61.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.6%
win probability
fnatic
70.6%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
54.5%
win probability
ASTRAL
52.0%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.1%
win probability
fnatic
49.8%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.0%
win probability
fnatic
69.4%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.0%
win probability
fnatic
58.9%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.9%
win probability
fnatic
70.5%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
52.0%
win probability
fnatic
60.4%
accuracy
✕
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