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Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.8%    STRONGHOLD 77.2%    VANGUARD 76.0%    TIER3ELO 75.3%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 73.0%    ELOHQ 72.0%    TIERELO 72.0%    HIGHORACLE 71.8%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-06 13:22 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Live · 12:00 · 2026-09-26 · OTHER · HLTV →

Iberian Soul

Model Consensus based on 18 models
fnatic
64.3%
67%
33%
fnatic: $2.07 (2) · x1.48 Pool $3.07 Iberian Soul: $1.00 (1) · x3.07
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
PoGy
Sep 25, 18:58
fnatic
$1.07
+$1.59
won
Luffy
Sep 25, 18:52
fnatic
$1.00
+$1.48
won
BestR1flerEu
Sep 25, 18:47
Iberian Soul
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (18)
SQUAD
Player ratings
94.1%
win probability
fnatic
60.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.3%
win probability
fnatic
62.8%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
71.4%
win probability
fnatic
62.7%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
71.3%
win probability
fnatic
76.0%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
70.4%
win probability
fnatic
66.7%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
70.3%
win probability
fnatic
66.8%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
70.3%
win probability
fnatic
71.8%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
69.7%
win probability
fnatic
73.0%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
69.2%
win probability
fnatic
65.4%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
69.2%
win probability
fnatic
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.9%
win probability
fnatic
66.2%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
fnatic
54.8%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.6%
win probability
Iberian Soul
49.7%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.3%
win probability
fnatic
72.0%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
54.1%
win probability
fnatic
64.4%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.0%
win probability
Iberian Soul
59.9%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.2%
win probability
fnatic
70.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.1%
win probability
fnatic
72.0%
accuracy
✓
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