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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.2%    STRONGHOLD 74.3%    TIER3ELO 72.5%    VANGUARD 72.2%    TRIBUNAL 70.7%    NEXUS 70.3%    ELOHQ 70.0%    TIERELO 69.8%    HIGHORACLE 69.0%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-11-07 10:48 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Live · 15:00 · 2026-09-24 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 21 models
fnatic
60.6%
74%
26%
fnatic: $3.72 (3) · x1.34 Pool $4.98 Just Players: $1.26 (1) · x3.95
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
Oli
Sep 24, 11:54
fnatic
$1.20
+$1.61
won
Shark
Sep 22, 20:23
fnatic
$1.31
+$1.75
won
z3ndy
Sep 22, 20:17
fnatic
$1.21
+$1.62
won
NikoM
Sep 22, 20:11
Just Players
$1.26
lost
Model Predictions (21)
SQUAD
Player ratings
75.9%
win probability
fnatic
60.2%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.1%
win probability
fnatic
62.2%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
70.9%
win probability
fnatic
72.2%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.6%
win probability
fnatic
64.4%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
68.5%
win probability
fnatic
70.3%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.3%
win probability
fnatic
69.0%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
65.7%
win probability
fnatic
64.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.4%
win probability
fnatic
65.1%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
60.2%
win probability
fnatic
64.7%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
59.1%
win probability
fnatic
70.7%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
58.0%
win probability
fnatic
64.7%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.8%
win probability
fnatic
50.6%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
fnatic
55.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.3%
win probability
fnatic
70.0%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
54.1%
win probability
fnatic
64.0%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.7%
win probability
fnatic
57.7%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.7%
win probability
fnatic
57.9%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.7%
win probability
fnatic
58.1%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.1%
win probability
fnatic
60.8%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.2%
win probability
fnatic
68.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.1%
win probability
fnatic
69.8%
accuracy
✓
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