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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.1%    TIER3ELO 72.9%    VANGUARD 72.3%    TRIBUNAL 70.9%    NEXUS 70.8%    ELOHQ 69.8%    TIERELO 69.6%    HIGHORACLE 69.3%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 09:52 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Pulse Beat I · bo3 · 12:00 · 2026-08-03 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 20 models
fnatic
64.7%
67%
33%
fnatic: $6.33 (3) · x1.47 Pool $9.33 Lilmix: $3.00 (3) · x3.11
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 6 latest
K
Kost9N
Aug 02, 23:02
fnatic
$1.00
+$1.47
won
AZIDOT
Jul 31, 15:54
fnatic
$2.33
+$3.43
won
indoubt
Jul 31, 10:17
Lilmix
$1.00
lost
HorizoN
Jul 31, 10:17
Lilmix
$1.00
lost
Shawk
Jul 31, 10:17
Lilmix
$1.00
lost
Emy
Jul 30, 19:05
fnatic
$3.00
+$4.42
won
Model Predictions (20)
ELO
Team ELO rating
86.6%
win probability
fnatic
64.3%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
86.5%
win probability
fnatic
60.4%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
85.0%
win probability
fnatic
72.3%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
83.3%
win probability
fnatic
61.9%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
80.8%
win probability
Lilmix
51.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
77.1%
win probability
fnatic
65.0%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
76.9%
win probability
fnatic
54.5%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
75.0%
win probability
fnatic
74.1%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
67.6%
win probability
fnatic
57.0%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
67.6%
win probability
fnatic
57.8%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
67.6%
win probability
fnatic
58.1%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
65.3%
win probability
fnatic
49.8%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
64.3%
win probability
Lilmix
61.6%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
63.4%
win probability
fnatic
63.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
61.0%
win probability
fnatic
69.8%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
61.0%
win probability
fnatic
64.9%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
57.8%
win probability
fnatic
58.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.2%
win probability
Lilmix
65.5%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.2%
win probability
fnatic
68.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.1%
win probability
fnatic
69.6%
accuracy
✓
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