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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 02:15 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · bo3 · 14:00 · 2026-09-27 · OTHER · HLTV →
62%
38%
fnatic: $2.69 (2) · x1.61 Pool $4.33 Nemesis: $1.64 (1) · x2.64
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
nesh
Sep 26, 15:30
Nemesis
$1.64
+$4.33
won
x1nk1n
Sep 26, 15:18
fnatic
$1.45
lost
geekaisoo
Sep 26, 15:12
fnatic
$1.24
lost
Model Predictions (14)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
60.3%
win probability
Nemesis
52.0%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
56.5%
win probability
fnatic
60.1%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.9%
win probability
Nemesis
48.8%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Nemesis
58.9%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.2%
win probability
Nemesis
64.4%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
55.2%
win probability
Nemesis
67.2%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Nemesis
58.7%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
Nemesis
59.2%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
Nemesis
58.6%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
54.4%
win probability
Nemesis
63.4%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
54.2%
win probability
fnatic
66.6%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.8%
win probability
fnatic
71.1%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.7%
win probability
fnatic
72.5%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.0%
win probability
Nemesis
58.0%
accuracy
✓
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