Last refresh: 2026-09-01 00:33 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 27 models
Aurora
62.7%
FOKUS: $2.18 (2) · x3.45
Pool $7.53
Aurora: $5.35 (3) · x1.41
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
DontPlayDota
Jul 23, 09:53
Aurora
$1.20
lost
hazr
Jul 20, 10:26
FOKUS
$1.09
+$3.76
won
Shawk
Jul 20, 10:26
Aurora
$1.15
lost
indoubt
Jul 20, 10:26
FOKUS
$1.09
+$3.76
won
UnderDOG
Jul 18, 09:35
Aurora
$3.00
lost
Model Predictions (27)
ELO
Team ELO rating
80.6%
win probability
Aurora
66.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
76.2%
win probability
Aurora
80.8%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
76.1%
win probability
Aurora
68.3%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
73.5%
win probability
Aurora
49.1%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
73.0%
win probability
Aurora
80.6%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
72.1%
win probability
Aurora
77.1%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
71.9%
win probability
Aurora
64.3%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
71.6%
win probability
Aurora
67.6%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
68.1%
win probability
Aurora
69.2%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
68.1%
win probability
Aurora
74.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
65.5%
win probability
Aurora
66.6%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
64.7%
win probability
Aurora
60.1%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
62.2%
win probability
Aurora
49.6%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
FOKUS
52.6%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
60.9%
win probability
Aurora
82.3%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Aurora
54.1%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
59.1%
win probability
Aurora
69.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
57.9%
win probability
Aurora
74.3%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
57.3%
win probability
Aurora
59.4%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
57.3%
win probability
Aurora
62.4%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
57.3%
win probability
Aurora
62.6%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
55.6%
win probability
Aurora
71.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.0%
win probability
Aurora
73.7%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.9%
win probability
Aurora
63.4%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.5%
win probability
Aurora
75.2%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.3%
win probability
FOKUS
64.7%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.0%
win probability
FOKUS
61.3%
accuracy