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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.5%    SENTINEL 84.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.3%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.9%    TIER2ELO 74.7%    ELOHQ 72.8%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
Last refresh: 2026-06-18 00:00 UTC · Next:
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IEM Cologne Major 2026 Grand Final · bo5 · 15:00 · 2026-06-21 · MAJOR · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 3 models
Falcons
68.1%
35%
65%
FURIA: $4.37 (3) · x2.80 Pool $12.23 Falcons: $7.86 (5) · x1.56
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 8 latest
Chill
Jun 20, 22:49
Falcons
$1.26
active
NucleonZ
Jun 20, 22:39
Falcons
$1.52
active
d1maje
Jun 20, 22:23
Falcons
$2.16
active
z0mb1e
Jun 20, 21:47
FURIA
$2.04
active
Folke
Jun 20, 20:56
Falcons
$1.53
active
Zilkenberg
Jun 20, 20:51
Falcons
$1.39
active
zxy
Jun 20, 20:45
FURIA
$1.33
active
Shawk
Jun 20, 20:40
FURIA
$1.00
active
Model Predictions (19)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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calibrating
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.6%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
72.7%
win probability
Falcons
60.5%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
66.3%
win probability
Falcons
54.1%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
64.9%
win probability
Falcons
56.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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65.3%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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64.5%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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64.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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65.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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65.0%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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65.3%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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67.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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72.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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65.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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74.7%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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76.9%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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78.9%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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62.8%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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63.2%
accuracy
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