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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.1%    TIER3ELO 72.9%    VANGUARD 72.3%    TRIBUNAL 70.9%    NEXUS 70.8%    ELOHQ 69.8%    TIERELO 69.6%    HIGHORACLE 69.3%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 09:52 UTC · Next:
Completed
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier · Live · 13:00 · 2026-09-09 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
HEROIC
55.6%
75%
25%
HEROIC: $3.00 (3) · x1.33 Pool $4.00 BESTIA: $1.00 (1) · x4.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
Oli
Sep 09, 10:54
HEROIC
$1.00
+$1.33
won
Trash
Sep 08, 13:09
HEROIC
$1.00
+$1.33
won
Zilkenberg
Sep 08, 13:02
HEROIC
$1.00
+$1.33
won
mazda
Sep 08, 12:56
BESTIA
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (19)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
65.4%
win probability
HEROIC
61.9%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
61.8%
win probability
HEROIC
51.6%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
60.0%
win probability
HEROIC
65.1%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
58.6%
win probability
HEROIC
64.9%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
58.3%
win probability
HEROIC
64.3%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.4%
win probability
HEROIC
49.8%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
56.4%
win probability
HEROIC
63.4%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
55.9%
win probability
HEROIC
60.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
55.4%
win probability
HEROIC
65.0%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
HEROIC
54.5%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
54.2%
win probability
HEROIC
65.5%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
54.0%
win probability
HEROIC
57.0%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
54.0%
win probability
HEROIC
57.8%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
54.0%
win probability
HEROIC
58.1%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
54.0%
win probability
BESTIA
61.6%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.9%
win probability
HEROIC
58.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.1%
win probability
HEROIC
68.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.9%
win probability
HEROIC
69.6%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.4%
win probability
HEROIC
69.8%
accuracy
✓
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