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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 75.2%    TIER3ELO 74.7%    TRIBUNAL 73.6%    NEXUS 73.1%    ELOHQ 71.3%    TIERELO 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 71.1%    TIER2ELO 70.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-15 07:48 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Pulse Beat II - Group B · bo3 · 10:00 · OTHER
Model Consensus based on 25 models
HEROIC
61.1%
43%
57%
HEROIC: $1.73 (1) · x2.29 Pool $3.97 Johnny Speeds: $2.24 (2) · x1.77
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
r3salt
Sep 21, 04:50
Johnny Speeds
$1.24
lost
Hanka
Sep 21, 04:05
HEROIC
$1.73
+$3.97
won
d3j4vy
Sep 21, 04:00
Johnny Speeds
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (25)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
78.3%
win probability
HEROIC
62.6%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
77.0%
win probability
HEROIC
75.2%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
75.7%
win probability
HEROIC
65.1%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
71.1%
win probability
Johnny Speeds
51.9%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
69.3%
win probability
HEROIC
71.1%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
67.6%
win probability
HEROIC
65.8%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
67.6%
win probability
HEROIC
73.1%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
65.9%
win probability
HEROIC
49.9%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
65.8%
win probability
HEROIC
60.8%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
HEROIC
54.9%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
64.1%
win probability
HEROIC
66.0%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
62.5%
win probability
HEROIC
66.3%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
61.3%
win probability
HEROIC
57.6%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.6%
win probability
HEROIC
63.9%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
59.6%
win probability
HEROIC
73.6%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
59.4%
win probability
HEROIC
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
57.1%
win probability
HEROIC
71.3%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
56.8%
win probability
HEROIC
59.5%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
HEROIC
58.2%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
HEROIC
58.0%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
HEROIC
57.8%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
54.0%
win probability
HEROIC
70.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.7%
win probability
HEROIC
71.2%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.7%
win probability
HEROIC
62.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.5%
win probability
HEROIC
74.7%
accuracy
✓
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