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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.0%    VANGUARD 79.0%    STRONGHOLD 78.4%    TRIBUNAL 78.3%    TIER3ELO 75.9%    NEXUS 74.3%    ELOHQ 74.1%    HIGHORACLE 73.0%    TIERELO 72.5%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-12 06:53 UTC · Next:
Completed
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier · Live · 10:00 · 2026-09-10 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 21 models
HEROIC
57.4%
51%
49%
HEROIC: $2.10 (2) · x1.95 Pool $4.10 K27: $2.00 (2) · x2.05
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
DontPlayDota
Sep 10, 07:54
HEROIC
$1.10
+$2.15
won
Lekzi
Sep 09, 16:16
HEROIC
$1.00
+$1.95
won
Shark
Sep 09, 16:06
K27
$1.00
lost
tripex17
Sep 09, 16:00
K27
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (21)
SQUAD
Player ratings
71.9%
win probability
HEROIC
60.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
67.5%
win probability
HEROIC
63.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
HEROIC
55.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.9%
win probability
HEROIC
65.1%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
59.9%
win probability
HEROIC
66.8%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.3%
win probability
HEROIC
49.8%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
59.1%
win probability
HEROIC
67.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
58.2%
win probability
HEROIC
66.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
57.8%
win probability
HEROIC
58.8%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
57.3%
win probability
HEROIC
78.3%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
56.8%
win probability
HEROIC
61.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
56.5%
win probability
HEROIC
66.9%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
HEROIC
60.2%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
55.4%
win probability
HEROIC
67.0%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
HEROIC
60.0%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
HEROIC
60.5%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.7%
win probability
HEROIC
71.1%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.5%
win probability
HEROIC
72.5%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.9%
win probability
HEROIC
63.8%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.3%
win probability
HEROIC
75.9%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.0%
win probability
HEROIC
74.1%
accuracy
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