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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.8%    STRONGHOLD 77.2%    VANGUARD 76.0%    TIER3ELO 75.3%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 73.0%    ELOHQ 72.0%    TIERELO 72.0%    HIGHORACLE 71.8%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-06 09:27 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Pulse Beat IISemifinal · Live · 16:00 · 2026-09-26 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 22 models
HEROIC
58.2%
63%
37%
HEROIC: $3.10 (3) · x1.56 Pool $4.85 Sangal: $1.75 (1) · x2.77
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
Oli
Sep 26, 13:28
HEROIC
$1.10
+$1.72
won
Gaiva
Sep 25, 19:15
HEROIC
$1.00
+$1.56
won
erners
Sep 25, 19:09
HEROIC
$1.00
+$1.56
won
doni
Sep 25, 19:04
Sangal
$1.75
lost
Model Predictions (22)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
78.0%
win probability
HEROIC
62.8%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
76.5%
win probability
HEROIC
76.0%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
75.0%
win probability
HEROIC
65.4%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
73.5%
win probability
Sangal
51.7%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
67.7%
win probability
HEROIC
66.7%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
67.2%
win probability
HEROIC
66.2%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
65.6%
win probability
Sangal
60.5%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
64.4%
win probability
HEROIC
66.3%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
63.0%
win probability
HEROIC
66.8%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.9%
win probability
HEROIC
62.7%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.3%
win probability
HEROIC
51.6%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.9%
win probability
HEROIC
49.7%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
56.4%
win probability
HEROIC
72.0%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
HEROIC
54.8%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
54.5%
win probability
HEROIC
57.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.2%
win probability
HEROIC
58.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.9%
win probability
HEROIC
70.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.4%
win probability
HEROIC
72.0%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.7%
win probability
HEROIC
59.1%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.5%
win probability
HEROIC
58.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.4%
win probability
HEROIC
75.3%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
52.4%
win probability
HEROIC
59.9%
accuracy
✓
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