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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.1%    TIER3ELO 72.9%    VANGUARD 72.3%    TRIBUNAL 70.9%    NEXUS 70.8%    ELOHQ 69.8%    TIERELO 69.6%    HIGHORACLE 69.3%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 09:52 UTC · Next:
Completed
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Live · 12:35 · 2026-07-22 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
Astralis
58.9%
Predictions locked — match finished
Model Predictions (17)
SQUAD
Player ratings
85.4%
win probability
Astralis
60.4%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
77.9%
win probability
Astralis
64.9%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
71.7%
win probability
Astralis
70.8%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
68.8%
win probability
Astralis
69.3%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
65.5%
win probability
Astralis
65.1%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
65.1%
win probability
Astralis
65.5%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
64.6%
win probability
HOTU
51.6%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.7%
win probability
Astralis
61.6%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
HOTU
54.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
59.7%
win probability
Astralis
61.9%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.2%
win probability
Astralis
64.3%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
57.5%
win probability
Astralis
63.4%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.0%
win probability
Astralis
65.0%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
HOTU
57.0%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.7%
win probability
HOTU
57.8%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.7%
win probability
HOTU
58.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.1%
win probability
Astralis
68.6%
accuracy
✕
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