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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.4%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 76.7%    TIER3ELO 75.4%    TRIBUNAL 74.6%    NEXUS 72.6%    TIERELO 72.1%    ELOHQ 71.9%    HIGHORACLE 71.5%    TIER2ELO 70.5%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-03 22:02 UTC · Next:
Completed
ESL Challenger League Season 51 South America Cup 4 · Live · 23:00 · 2026-05-01 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
Imperial
55.0%
76%
24%
Imperial: $39.32 (1) · x1.31 Pool $51.57 Galorys: $12.25 (1) · x4.21
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Forester
Apr 30, 00:35
Galorys
$12.25
lost
SayYouWill
Apr 30, 00:25
Imperial
$39.32
+$51.57
won
Model Predictions (19)
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
67.1%
win probability
Galorys
51.2%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
66.5%
win probability
Galorys
63.0%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.4%
win probability
Imperial
62.8%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
65.2%
win probability
Imperial
60.2%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
63.2%
win probability
Imperial
49.3%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
62.3%
win probability
Imperial
57.8%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
62.3%
win probability
Imperial
58.7%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
62.3%
win probability
Imperial
59.0%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
61.6%
win probability
Galorys
66.5%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
61.1%
win probability
Imperial
65.3%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
60.6%
win probability
Imperial
76.7%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
60.1%
win probability
Imperial
64.3%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Imperial
54.7%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
57.4%
win probability
Imperial
74.6%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
57.3%
win probability
Imperial
66.0%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
55.9%
win probability
Imperial
59.6%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.2%
win probability
Galorys
58.4%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
52.9%
win probability
Galorys
66.8%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.7%
win probability
Imperial
71.9%
accuracy
✓
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