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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.3%    STRONGHOLD 75.7%    TIER3ELO 73.9%    VANGUARD 73.6%    TRIBUNAL 72.7%    NEXUS 72.6%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    ELOHQ 70.6%    TIERELO 70.5%    TIER2ELO 69.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-22 19:39 UTC · Next:
Completed
Circuit X Curitiba Season 4 · Live · 17:00 · 2026-10-22 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
Imperial
61.5%
64%
36%
Imperial: $3.34 (3) · x1.54 Pool $5.16 Turma do Pagode: $1.82 (1) · x2.84
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
Oli
Oct 22, 13:54
Imperial
$1.20
+$1.85
won
kR4ken
Oct 20, 06:02
Turma do Pago…
$1.82
lost
HorizoN
Oct 19, 14:24
Imperial
$1.10
+$1.70
won
indoubt
Oct 19, 14:24
Imperial
$1.04
+$1.61
won
Model Predictions (19)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
74.6%
win probability
Imperial
52.0%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
72.4%
win probability
Imperial
65.3%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
71.3%
win probability
Imperial
72.6%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
70.2%
win probability
Imperial
70.7%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
70.2%
win probability
Imperial
65.6%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
69.0%
win probability
Imperial
62.1%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
68.7%
win probability
Imperial
73.6%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.4%
win probability
Imperial
64.8%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
66.0%
win probability
Imperial
61.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
64.2%
win probability
Imperial
65.8%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.3%
win probability
Imperial
65.3%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
55.3%
win probability
Imperial
60.4%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Turma do Pagode
54.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.3%
win probability
Imperial
70.6%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.0%
win probability
Imperial
58.9%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
52.5%
win probability
Imperial
63.5%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.4%
win probability
Turma do Pagode
57.8%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.4%
win probability
Turma do Pagode
58.1%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.4%
win probability
Turma do Pagode
57.3%
accuracy
✕
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