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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 84.0%    TRIBUNAL 83.3%    STRONGHOLD 81.7%    SENTINEL 81.5%    TIER3ELO 76.5%    NEXUS 75.5%    TIERELO 74.3%    ELOHQ 72.8%    TIER2ELO 72.4%    HIGHORACLE 68.9%   
Last refresh: 2026-07-05 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Live · 12:00 · 2026-04-03 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
100 Thieves
60.9%
Predictions locked — match finished
Model Predictions (17)
SQUAD
Player ratings
95.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.7%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
69.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.3%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
67.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.7%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.2%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.5%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
63.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.7%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.6%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.8%
win probability
K27
50.3%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.0%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.4%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.7%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.8%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.4%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.3%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
K27
54.8%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
76.5%
accuracy
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