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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 01:58 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Live · 20:30 · 2026-09-26 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
K27
57.6%
66%
34%
K27: $2.33 (2) · x1.51 Pool $3.51 ex-RUBY: $1.18 (1) · x2.97
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
SayYouWill
Sep 25, 23:24
K27
$1.00
+$1.51
won
5ilent92
Sep 25, 23:13
K27
$1.33
+$2.00
won
Rack
Sep 25, 23:02
ex-RUBY
$1.18
lost
Model Predictions (17)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
87.2%
win probability
K27
52.0%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
75.2%
win probability
K27
60.1%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.7%
win probability
K27
72.2%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.6%
win probability
K27
62.9%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
66.3%
win probability
K27
67.2%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.3%
win probability
K27
65.5%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
57.8%
win probability
K27
66.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.1%
win probability
K27
66.2%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.9%
win probability
ex-RUBY
48.8%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
55.6%
win probability
K27
63.4%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
ex-RUBY
58.9%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
ex-RUBY
58.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
K27
54.9%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
ex-RUBY
59.2%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
ex-RUBY
58.6%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
52.8%
win probability
K27
64.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.7%
win probability
K27
72.5%
accuracy
✓
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