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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 85.2%    VANGUARD 82.8%    STRONGHOLD 82.4%    SENTINEL 81.4%    NEXUS 75.7%    TIER3ELO 75.2%    TIERELO 73.2%    ELOHQ 72.7%    TIER2ELO 71.5%    HIGHORACLE 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-07-15 00:00 UTC · Next:
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Stake Ranked Episode 3 · bo3 · 12:30 · 2026-07-17 · TOP · HLTV →
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Model Consensus based on 4 models
K27
58.3%
30%
70%
K27: $1.25 (1) · x3.28 Pool $4.10 Phantom: $2.85 (2) · x1.44
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Icarus
Jul 16, 20:05
Phantom
$1.70
active
Luffykcs
Jul 16, 20:00
K27
$1.25
active
Viresse
Jul 16, 19:54
Phantom
$1.15
active
Model Predictions (20)
SQUAD
Player ratings
86.7%
win probability
K27
58.9%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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50.0%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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64.5%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.6%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Phantom
53.9%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.5%
win probability
K27
58.3%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.0%
win probability
Phantom
60.5%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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62.5%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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62.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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64.9%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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65.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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64.5%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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65.7%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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64.0%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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73.2%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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71.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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72.7%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.2%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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64.7%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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65.0%
accuracy
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