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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.1%    TIER3ELO 72.9%    VANGUARD 72.3%    TRIBUNAL 70.9%    NEXUS 70.8%    ELOHQ 69.8%    TIERELO 69.6%    HIGHORACLE 69.3%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 09:52 UTC · Next:
Completed
FISSURE Playground 3 · Live · 06:00 · 2026-09-09 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 22 models
Legacy
58.6%
38%
62%
Legacy: $1.43 (1) · x2.59 Pool $3.71 Alliance: $2.28 (2) · x1.63
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Ne1XXX
Sep 08, 10:25
Alliance
$1.12
lost
Trash
Sep 08, 10:20
Legacy
$1.43
+$3.71
won
nicoodoz
Sep 08, 10:12
Alliance
$1.16
lost
Model Predictions (22)
SQUAD
Player ratings
79.8%
win probability
Alliance
60.4%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
77.1%
win probability
Legacy
65.1%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
77.1%
win probability
Legacy
69.3%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
76.2%
win probability
Legacy
70.8%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
75.2%
win probability
Legacy
64.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
74.5%
win probability
Legacy
65.5%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
70.9%
win probability
Legacy
61.6%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
66.6%
win probability
Legacy
72.3%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.1%
win probability
Legacy
61.9%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.3%
win probability
Legacy
64.3%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.0%
win probability
Legacy
63.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.8%
win probability
Legacy
65.0%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
56.0%
win probability
Alliance
51.6%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.5%
win probability
Alliance
49.8%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Alliance
54.5%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
54.6%
win probability
Legacy
68.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
54.0%
win probability
Legacy
69.6%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.3%
win probability
Alliance
57.0%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.3%
win probability
Alliance
57.8%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.3%
win probability
Alliance
58.1%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.0%
win probability
Legacy
69.8%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.9%
win probability
Legacy
72.9%
accuracy
✓
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