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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.0%    STRONGHOLD 77.0%    VANGUARD 75.1%    TIER3ELO 74.5%    TRIBUNAL 74.5%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 71.3%    ELOHQ 71.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.9%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-14 08:03 UTC · Next:
Completed
Hotspawn Showdown 2026 · Live · 21:00 · 2026-09-26 · OTHER · HLTV →

overTIME

m4tthi m4tthi
Model Consensus based on 18 models
overTIME
60.8%
32%
68%
Lilmix: $1.51 (1) · x3.11 Pool $4.69 overTIME: $3.18 (2) · x1.47
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
b0RUP
Sep 25, 21:55
Lilmix
$1.51
lost
Tw1nk1e17
Sep 25, 21:49
overTIME
$1.36
+$2.01
won
Katkame
Sep 25, 21:33
overTIME
$1.82
+$2.68
won
Model Predictions (18)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
78.1%
win probability
overTIME
62.5%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
76.3%
win probability
overTIME
75.1%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
74.5%
win probability
overTIME
65.0%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
68.2%
win probability
overTIME
49.8%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
66.8%
win probability
overTIME
65.7%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
overTIME
54.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
61.7%
win probability
Lilmix
66.3%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
60.9%
win probability
overTIME
65.7%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
59.5%
win probability
overTIME
57.7%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
59.5%
win probability
overTIME
58.2%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
59.5%
win probability
overTIME
58.4%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
58.4%
win probability
overTIME
74.5%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
57.4%
win probability
overTIME
60.6%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
56.3%
win probability
overTIME
66.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
56.2%
win probability
overTIME
71.2%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
56.0%
win probability
overTIME
63.9%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
55.9%
win probability
overTIME
59.5%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.3%
win probability
Lilmix
62.2%
accuracy
✕
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