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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 85.2%    VANGUARD 84.2%    STRONGHOLD 83.0%    SENTINEL 81.4%    NEXUS 76.1%    TIER3ELO 75.7%    TIERELO 73.9%    ELOHQ 73.1%    TIER2ELO 72.3%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
Last refresh: 2026-07-12 00:02 UTC · Next:
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Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 2 Semifinal · bo3 · 23:00 · 2026-07-12 · OTHER · HLTV →
starts in
59%
41%
LP: $6.21 (2) · x1.68 Pool $10.44 Imperial: $4.23 (3) · x2.47
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
Ne1XXX
Jul 12, 00:30
LP
$5.21
active
FenomeN
Jul 12, 00:25
Imperial
$1.26
active
mazda
Jul 12, 00:20
Imperial
$1.48
active
Stx
Jul 12, 00:14
LP
$1.00
active
sliimey
Jul 12, 00:08
Imperial
$1.49
active
Model Predictions (23)
SQUAD
Player ratings
87.4%
win probability
Imperial
58.9%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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63.1%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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84.2%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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65.5%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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54.3%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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65.4%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
61.3%
win probability
LP
51.0%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.2%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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85.2%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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64.6%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.9%
win probability
LP
61.0%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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65.0%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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63.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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65.2%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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62.7%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
LP
54.2%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
54.9%
win probability
LP
57.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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64.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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65.4%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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73.1%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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73.9%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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72.3%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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75.7%
accuracy
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