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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 83.9%    TRIBUNAL 83.7%    STRONGHOLD 80.7%    VANGUARD 79.8%    NEXUS 76.1%    TIER3ELO 73.4%    ELOHQ 73.2%    HIGHORACLE 72.7%    TIERELO 72.6%    TIER2ELO 70.7%   
Last refresh: 2026-08-12 14:23 UTC · Next:
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Esports World Cup 2026 · bo3 · 13:55 · 2026-08-13 · TOP · HLTV →
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Luminosity

Model Consensus based on 6 models
Spirit
66.7%
27%
73%
Luminosity: $3.86 (3) · x3.70 Pool $14.28 Spirit: $10.42 (3) · x1.37
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 6 latest
FxRE
Aug 12, 12:36
Spirit
$3.12
active
777
Aug 12, 12:36
Spirit
$3.11
active
IamYourDaddy
Aug 12, 12:36
Spirit
$4.19
active
doni
Aug 12, 12:19
Luminosity
$1.37
active
Jardani
Aug 12, 11:37
Luminosity
$1.49
active
SBT
Aug 12, 11:32
Luminosity
$1.00
active
Model Predictions (25)
ELO
Team ELO rating
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65.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
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79.8%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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63.6%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.7%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
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80.7%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
76.9%
win probability
Spirit
52.9%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
76.4%
win probability
Spirit
60.9%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
75.0%
win probability
Spirit
50.7%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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73.2%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
66.6%
win probability
Spirit
59.0%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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61.7%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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62.0%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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66.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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67.5%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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83.7%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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70.7%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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49.0%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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72.6%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
60.3%
win probability
Spirit
48.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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68.6%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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73.4%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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68.1%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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61.3%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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62.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.6%
win probability
Luminosity
63.7%
accuracy
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