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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.3%    STRONGHOLD 75.7%    TIER3ELO 73.9%    VANGUARD 73.6%    TRIBUNAL 72.7%    NEXUS 72.6%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    ELOHQ 70.6%    TIERELO 70.6%    TIER2ELO 69.5%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-24 08:17 UTC · Next:
Completed
Exort Fiesta Series 1 · bo3 · 16:00 · 2026-08-22 · OTHER · HLTV →

Mai Tai

Permitta

Model Consensus based on 17 models
Permitta
56.5%
28%
72%
Mai Tai: $2.00 (2) · x3.50 Pool $7.01 Permitta: $5.01 (3) · x1.40
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
FromBehind
Aug 22, 13:44
Permitta
$2.62
lost
kR4ken
Aug 21, 20:09
Permitta
$1.39
lost
lenci
Aug 21, 19:55
Mai Tai
$1.00
+$3.50
won
nesh
Aug 21, 19:50
Permitta
$1.00
lost
BestR1flerEu
Aug 21, 19:45
Mai Tai
$1.00
+$3.50
won
Model Predictions (17)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
91.7%
win probability
Mai Tai
52.0%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.8%
win probability
Permitta
62.1%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Permitta
54.5%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
62.8%
win probability
Permitta
64.8%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
61.9%
win probability
Permitta
60.3%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
61.0%
win probability
Permitta
65.6%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.7%
win probability
Permitta
63.5%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
59.7%
win probability
Permitta
58.9%
accuracy
✕
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
59.5%
win probability
Permitta
72.7%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
59.5%
win probability
Mai Tai
65.9%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.7%
win probability
Permitta
57.2%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
58.7%
win probability
Permitta
57.8%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
58.7%
win probability
Permitta
58.1%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.4%
win probability
Permitta
65.4%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.2%
win probability
Permitta
49.8%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
57.1%
win probability
Permitta
65.4%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.3%
win probability
Permitta
70.6%
accuracy
✕
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