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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 81.4%    SENTINEL 81.1%    STRONGHOLD 79.6%    TIER3ELO 74.7%    VANGUARD 74.4%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 72.8%    ELOHQ 71.0%    TIER2ELO 70.8%    HIGHORACLE 68.2%   
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StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · bo3 · 02:30 · 2026-08-01 · OTHER · HLTV →
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Marsborne

Model Consensus based on 5 models
regain
64.6%
33%
67%
Marsborne: $1.45 (1) · x3.01 Pool $4.37 regain: $2.92 (2) · x1.50
If win: potential payout If win:
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
TjP
Jul 31, 03:16
regain
$1.39
active
r3salt
Jul 31, 03:01
regain
$1.53
active
xelex
Jul 31, 02:54
Marsborne
$1.45
active
Model Predictions (22)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
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43.9%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
92.6%
win probability
regain
58.5%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
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62.0%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
65.2%
win probability
regain
50.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
regain
52.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
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64.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.5%
win probability
regain
59.3%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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64.1%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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62.8%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
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81.4%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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64.7%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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62.5%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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64.7%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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62.2%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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65.4%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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62.9%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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63.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.1%
win probability
Marsborne
59.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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71.0%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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72.8%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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70.8%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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74.7%
accuracy
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