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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.2%    STRONGHOLD 74.4%    TIER3ELO 72.7%    VANGUARD 72.3%    TRIBUNAL 70.8%    NEXUS 70.4%    ELOHQ 70.1%    TIERELO 69.9%    HIGHORACLE 69.1%    TIER2ELO 68.7%   
Last refresh: 2026-11-07 17:50 UTC · Next:
Completed
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Live · 00:00 · 2026-09-23 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
Keyd Stars
62.4%
23%
77%
METANOIA Wolves: $1.00 (1) · x4.19 Pool $4.19 Keyd Stars: $3.19 (3) · x1.31
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
Oli
Sep 23, 20:54
Keyd Stars
$1.00
lost
Lake
Sep 23, 00:09
Keyd Stars
$1.14
lost
Chill
Sep 23, 00:03
METANOIA Wolv…
$1.00
+$4.19
won
Tw1nk1e17
Sep 22, 23:57
Keyd Stars
$1.05
lost
Model Predictions (18)
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
75.0%
win probability
Keyd Stars
60.8%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.2%
win probability
Keyd Stars
62.3%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
73.3%
win probability
Keyd Stars
72.3%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
72.5%
win probability
Keyd Stars
64.7%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
72.5%
win probability
Keyd Stars
69.1%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
72.3%
win probability
Keyd Stars
64.4%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
71.1%
win probability
METANOIA Wolves
51.7%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
70.9%
win probability
Keyd Stars
70.4%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
69.7%
win probability
Keyd Stars
64.7%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
69.3%
win probability
Keyd Stars
64.5%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
65.1%
win probability
Keyd Stars
65.1%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
56.3%
win probability
Keyd Stars
60.3%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.3%
win probability
Keyd Stars
70.1%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.3%
win probability
METANOIA Wolves
50.7%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Keyd Stars
55.4%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.2%
win probability
Keyd Stars
63.9%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.4%
win probability
Keyd Stars
57.8%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
52.3%
win probability
METANOIA Wolves
59.4%
accuracy
✓
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