SURGE

Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters

95.0%

win probability

SAW

52.1%

accuracy

✓

WR10C

Win rate top-10 + ELO + form

80.3%

win probability

SAW

62.6%

accuracy

✓

FORM

Win rate last 10 matches

76.9%

win probability

SAW

54.9%

accuracy

✓

VANGUARD

Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction

72.9%

win probability

SAW

74.5%

accuracy

✓

SQUAD

Player ratings

68.1%

win probability

NAVI Junior

60.9%

accuracy

✕

EAGLE

Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate

67.3%

win probability

NAVI Junior

62.2%

accuracy

✕

OPEN

Rank + form + head-to-head

67.2%

win probability

SAW

57.5%

accuracy

✓

XGPRO

Rank + H2H for top matches

67.2%

win probability

SAW

57.7%

accuracy

✓

MAJOR

Rank + H2H + Form for major events

67.2%

win probability

SAW

57.9%

accuracy

✓

ELO

Team ELO rating

65.4%

win probability

SAW

65.1%

accuracy

✓

STRONGHOLD

ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

63.6%

win probability

SAW

76.1%

accuracy

✓

MIND

Psychology + tilt + H2H

62.8%

win probability

SAW

49.6%

accuracy

✓

SOS

Rank + form + opponent strength

61.8%

win probability

SAW

63.9%

accuracy

✓

ELOFACE

ELO + training activity

60.2%

win probability

SAW

65.8%

accuracy

✓

PHANTOM

ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)

58.1%

win probability

NAVI Junior

66.3%

accuracy

✕

APEX

ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)

54.1%

win probability

NAVI Junior

65.9%

accuracy

✕

STREAK

Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

53.9%

win probability

SAW

58.9%

accuracy

✓

ELOHQ

High-confidence ELO

53.8%

win probability

SAW

71.2%

accuracy

✓

TIER2

Top-teams ELO v2

53.5%

win probability

SAW

70.1%

accuracy

✓

ORACLE

ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS

53.4%

win probability

NAVI Junior

66.3%

accuracy

✕

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

53.1%

win probability

SAW

71.2%

accuracy

✓

TIER3

Top-teams ELO v3

52.2%

win probability

SAW

74.5%

accuracy

✓